Nifty and Sensex has continued to move in a range for
majority of the time rather than showing a strong trending move. Bollinger Bands work best during such
scenarios.
Non – trending movement is frustrating for majority of
traders as there is no strong trend which is required to make the most out of
the trade. During such phase one needs to be patient and adopt the indicators
that work best in order to identify the key reversal areas for capturing
smaller moves rather than trends.
Nifty 60 mins chart
with Bollinger Bands, RSI and Channels
The above chart shows some basic technical analysis method
yet powerful tools that can help in identifying the key reversal areas. As
shown, there are three most important techniques applied here –
- Bollinger Bands –
to capture the range and reversal areas
- Relative Strength
Index (RSI) – to understand the momentum
- Channels to
identify the key resistance or support zone
Now look at the above chart again and try to see how prices
behave during month of June when it approached near the channel resistance and
contraction within the Bands that confirmed sideways or range bound movement.
Let us now move to current scenario where the movement is
again in a range after just few days of trend. Also during this entire movement
lot of euphoria has been created as prices have been hitting new 2016 highs
even though temporarily. At the same time RSI has been exhibiting negative
divergence suggesting lack of momentum and channel has been providing strong
resistance to prices.
Bollinger Bands has turned flat and the upper and lower
bands are acting as important resistance and support respectively. It will be
at that time when we start seeing expansion in these bands again with decisive
break above or below the key levels a strong trending move will emerge!
Each of these techniques are in sync that the euphoria might
be short lived but again most important thing is price confirmation which is
still awaited!
To understand the key reversal areas on Nifty, Bank Nifty
and stocks get access to “The Financial
waves short term update” and see when the above techniques are combined
along with Elliott wave counts. Also the reason why we are not expecting 9000++ levels like majority. To subscribe
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