Tuesday, May 6, 2025

ITC - Identifying bottoms Using Time Cycle

 Time Cycle is a Technical Analysis study and it is surprising that such concepts can help to time the market and catch early reversals which improves decision making of the traders.

J.M. Hurst defined that there are standard cycles that exists and it is possible to identify the actual cycles on the stock market.

ITC Daily chart with 55 Days’ Time Cycle.
We have applied 55-period cycle on the daily chart and we can observe how prices have been following our plotted cycle. Currently, we have entered into the cycle zone for ITC. For now, the cycle can turn on the buy side once prices break above its previous swing high level which is near 417 levels.

In a nutshell, ITC is at an important juncture. As the stock has entered into its cycle zone. Next few days price action is important, a breach above 417 levels is needed for cycle to turn on the buy side. On the other hand, on the downside 390 is the nearest support to watch out for! 

Above research shows power of Time trading and one need to not worry about not missing out the trend as when time is in favour, then we can catch moves well in advance if price action confirms.

Brahmastra (Mentorship) on Timing the market – Learn the complete science of Trading using technical analysis, risk money management, time trading techniques, complete handholding, and lifelong association in an upcoming mentorship program with the live trading session, Know more here

Monday, May 5, 2025

Nifty Elliott wave path cannot be more accurate!

 It is possible to forecast the market using the simple scientific method of Elliott wave.

Below chart was discussed during the weekly webinar with 1000’s of participants. Wherein, we anticipated a possible continuation of a fall in Nifty and then resumption of uptrend in form of wave (5).

Nifty Daily chart with Elliott wave Anticipated in December 2024 in Weekly webinar
Nifty Daily chart happened as on 05th May 2025
Nifty has been moving precisely the way we have been forecasting as per Elliott wave, and continued to work extremely well as expected. In the month of December 2024, we anticipated continuation of fall in form of wave (4) and expected it to get completed near 21800-22000 mark, and post which uptrend can resume in form of wave (5) and Bang on!

On the above chart, we can see that Nifty made a low of 21743 levels where wave (4) looks to have completed on the downside and Nifty has started wave (5) of [3] on the upside. As per guidelines, wave (5) usually retraces 1 time of wave (1). As per this, wave (5) might reach towards 27000 or to higher levels.

One needs to ensure to follow the rules of Elliott wave and Neo wave to trade with high conviction!

So, for now one should keep accumulating on dips as long as 23200 levels which is an important Gapp support area remains intact on the downside for medium to long term.

In a nutshell, by knowing the science of Elliott wave along with price action it is possible to form strong trading strategy right from short term intraday to positional investments.

Brahmastra (Mentorship) on Timing the market – Equip yourself with tools of Elliott wave, Neo waveTime cycle, stock selection algo creation, multibagger and momentum stocks identification along with exact trade setup that actually works. Only a few seats left! Know more here

Is Bank Nifty in Sync with the Advanced Tools?

 Time Cycle is a Technical Analysis study and it is surprising that such concepts can help to time the market and catch early reversals which improves decision making of the traders.

Neo wave along with a Time cycle helps to form powerful setups with a good accuracy. See detail below article on Bank Nifty.

Using the power of Time cycle and Neo wave, we anticipated Bank Nifty's next move in our previous monthly report that was published on 24th March, 2025 — Check it out!

Bank Nifty Daily Chart: Anticipated as on 24th March 2025.

Wave Analysis as on 24th March 2025.

Bank Nifty path ahead - The monthly low in March 2025 was on the lower trendline support from where we have witnessed sharp move in just a weeks’ time. This further adds to the possibility that the major low is formed and Bank Nifty is headed to lifetime high levels. Many will miss out this trend and keep questioning the rise but over wave pattern and time cycles are in sync for the up move after six months of downside correction.

Neo wave pattern- The entire rise from the lows of Covid 2020 was in form of Diametric pattern. Prices complete this pattern at the top near 54467 made in month of September 2024. Post that the fall looks to be in contracting wedge-shaped pattern. This fall can be wave X and now another set of up move is resuming. Bank Nifty can touch 54500 lifetime high levels very quickly as the fall can be retraced in just 1/4th or ½ of the time. So, we can expect move to 54500 in 1-2 months.

Bank Nifty with 54 Days’ Time cycle -Every Index has its own Time cycle and here on the daily time frame we are showing 54 days’ time cycle which works extremely well on the Bank Nifty chart. Every time near the cycle zone we have seen a bounce on the upside. Currently, as we have entered into cycle zone, prices have already shown a sharp positive move.

Bank Nifty Daily Chart: Happened as on 30th April 2025.

Happened – After we published our monthly report, Bank Nifty has been in sync with our expectations! The Index as mentioned achieved its lifetime high of 56098 levels in the month of April which was anticipated way before it actually happened.

Along with this Bank Nifty has followed the advanced tools perfectly. The target of 54500 levels were derived as per the Neo wave perspective and BANG ON!! Prices moved precisely as expected and made a fresh high of 56098 levels. When we published our report, prices had already entered into its cycle zone which was due on 25th March. Thereafter, prices formed a low of 49156 levels in the month of April where internal wave b got completed on the downside. Despite concerns over growing global tensions, the Index sky rocked and showed a move of nearly 7000 points on the upside in just 15 trading sessions

For such Bank Nifty levels and strategic insights, join our Prithvi Membership where you get expert analysis and actionable levels. Click here.

Brahmastra (Mentorship) on Timing the market – Equip yourself with tools of Elliott wave, Neo waveTime cycle, stock selection algo creation, multibagger and momentum stocks identification along with exact trade setup that actually works. Only a few seats left! Know more here

Monday, April 28, 2025

Is Nifty Resuming the BULL RUN?

 Nifty has been climbing the wall of worry. Despite of all the events and negative news Indian equity markets have continued to stay buoyant.

Advanced Elliott Wave along with Time cycle provides good trading opportunity and possible reversal areas

Below chart is published in our daily research report (AGNI) and also in monthly research – can be referred over here

Nifty Daily Chart
Following excerpt is picked up from our monthly research report - Nifty is on verge of a major breakout. A higher low from here on weekly time frame followed by higher high will further confirm upside reversal as per Dow Theory. Time cycle of 85 weeks along with Neo wave is hinting towards resumption of the BULL Market which many might miss out again.! Do note as short term indicators are over bought, we do not rule out possibility of sudden downside reversal on account of profit booking but that will only be temporary. A higher high higher low formation on weekly charts will be the major confirmation for resumption of the “MOTHER OF ALL BULL MARKET

Trump Tariff impact – As we mentioned that 21900 levels should hold on the downside much earlier than the tariff announcements. Post the 26% tariff announcement imposed by Trump on 4th April and reciprocal step taken by china, India markets on 7th April collapsed by more than 1000 points but still managed to protect 21900 levels on closing basis.

We have turned bullish when Nifty was near 22500 levels and have been maintaining the same stand since then. Nifty already touched the high near 24360 levels – a move of more than 1800 points.

We believe that, “Events do not drive the freely traded markets but only results into short term volatility and eventually the original trend resumes!”

As we can see Nifty saw a sharp recovery of more than 2600 points from the low of 21743 levels which was in sync with our 55-days’ time cycle. This showcases that despite of the event there was a short-term knee jerk reaction but prices immediately resumed on the upside.

According to the wave perspective, as the recent rise retraced the prior fall in less time so it looks that the entire rise is impulse in nature and we are only in wave a or 1 and we are yet to see wave 2 or b which might be of 10-12 days of consolidation. Post completion of wave 2 or b we can expect a strong rise in the form of wave 3 or c towards lifetime highs in coming months.

By combining this science of Time tradingNeo Wave and Price action it is possible to forecast the market and enter early on when majority have been focusing on the events.  

Brahmastra (Mentorship) on Timing the market – Equip yourself with tools of Elliott wave, Neo wave, Time cycle, stock selection algo creation, multibagger and momentum stocks identification along with exact trade setup that actually works. Only a few seats left!, Know more here

Thursday, April 24, 2025

How PARADEEP Achieved a 12% Rally - Price Patterns & ADX Insights.

 When combining basic price patterns with technical indicators like ADX, it can lead to remarkable results in trading. See how we captured a significant move in Paradeep Phosphates Ltd stock by applying the ADX momentum strategy. Check out how the stock rallied by more than 12% after our prediction.

We published the following research on Paradeep Phosphates Ltd on 16th April 2025 in the “Vayu Momentum Report” which our subscribers receive pre-market every day.

Paradeep Daily Chart: Anticipated as on 16th April 2025
Wave Analysis as on 16th April 2025:

In the previous session, PARADEEP finally closed above minor 3 days of consolidation and surged by 10.97%.

The stock was witnessing a rounding bottom formation since January 2025 on the daily timeframe. In the previous session, prices finally gave a breakout of it as it managed to close above neckline of 130.50 levels which confirms the breakout of the pattern. Along with this, ADX helps to understand the overall momentum of the stock and now is showing readings of 37 levels suggesting good momentum is likely to continue. However, currently looking at the sharp rise in the previous session buy on dips looks to be a prudent strategy to ride the trend better.

In nutshell, trend for PARADEEP is bullish. Use dips towards 130-132 as a buying opportunity for a move towards 143 levels as long as 128 holds on the downside.

Key Resistance: 143

Key Support: 128

Strategy: Use dips towards 130-132 as a buying opportunity with the targets of 140 followed by 143 with the stoploss of 128 levels.

Paradeep Daily Chart:  Happened as on 24th April 2025.
Happened- After we published our report, the stock moved in sync with our expectations. Paradeep have rallied more than 12% in a short span of time and BANG ON!! Prices not only managed to achieve both our given targets but also is continuing to make new fresh highs and is currently trading at 149 levels. We successfully captured this entire rise by simple price action and ADX.

It is fascinating to see how accurately combining basic indicators like ADX with price action can help predict targets with accuracy.

Want to know more about such stocks on the mark! subscribe to our Vayu Short-Term Update: Get a list of stocks with high growth potential: Check Here

Brahmastra (Mentorship) on Trading - Learn the science of forecasting using Time and Elliott wave, Neo wave, along with risk money management, stock selection algo, Options trading with a complete plan. Limited seats only, Next batch starts in April 2025. Know more here