Thursday, December 7, 2017

How to trade Crypto Currency using Technical Analysis?

What is Crypto currency – Bitcoin? Will the buying mania continue? Or Will Bitcoin be responsible this time for the Global crises! Crypto currency is a new age, decentralised, digital currency which works on the mechanism of cryptography. Being decentralised it is not governed by one single monetary or legal authority – See astonishing charts and similarity between movement of Bitcoin and US – DJIA

Cryptocurrency is a new age, decentralised, digital currency which works on the mechanism of cryptography. Being decentralised it is not governed by one single monetary or legal authority. It works through a series of communicating nodes which runs bitcoin software and maintains the blockchain which is the public ledger recording bitcoin. Through mining, the record keeping system, miners keep the blockchain updated, consistent and unalterable. Miners use complex algorithms to mine (or “discover”) bitcoins which are then added to the blockchain. There are various other types of cryptocurrencies like Litecoin(LTC),Ethereum (ETH),Ripple(XRP) etc but Bitcoin remains the most used and traded.

Bitcoin is the first and the most famous cryptocurrency used till date. ……..Recently bitcoin trading has increased significantly, mainly because of the following reasons-

(please refer actual Monthly research report for more details)

See the below charts and you will be thrilled how highly correlated the movement has been between US major index – DJIA and Bitcoins

The above charts clearly highlight the Fractal Nature – It means that irrespective of the markets or assets the basic emotions that drive the prices remains the same. It is Greed, Hope, Fear that are responsible for movement of any asset class.

The above chart shows classical example that everyone is too focused only on Bitcoin but people are forgetting the fact that movement of US major index is mimicking that. The magnitude might be different but the slope of rise looks similar. There also seems to be high correlation between movements of both of these assets which is highlighted by black box.
The Bitcoin mania can be compared to that of the Tulip light bulb mania of 16th century. Prices of Tulip ………………..

I am not here to catch a top in mania but definitely the risk does not justifies entering at current levels. It might very well move higher as measuring people extreme emotions like greed can be everyone’s guess but I think we are nearing that phase and the apocalyptic decline in Bitcoin might be a trigger for Global selloff this time. Food for thought – How will this be correlated to other assets! My take is when you run for cover you do not care what are you selling to save your …..!!!
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The Financial Waves Monthly Update is now published. Understanding what is Crypto currency- Bit coin. Nifty outlook with the application of Neo wave, Hurst’s Time cycles. Outlook on Banking Index. Sadbhav Engineering Long term pick. Dow Jones an uncontrollable bull trend. Mutual Fund Section Subscribe to “The Financial Waves Monthly update” and see yourself the long term forecasts and world markets at a glance.


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