Many might be still wondering and trying to figure out the
logical reason for strong selloff in Indian equity markets over past few weeks.
The intensity of the down move has been increasing and Nifty is down by more
than 2% without any significant news or event. This is simply showing that
every pullback is now temporary and the major trend has reversed from positive
to negative. During such scenario when the movement is against the majority the
only objective technique that remains tested for time is Advanced Elliott wave – Neo Wave along with Time cycles.
It is these studies that helped us to stay on the short side
of the trend and constantly warn our subscribers about the impending turn in
the overall trend. Now the big question is – Are we headed towards much lower
levels from here or the down move is just temporary?
Let us look at a few
concepts of Time cycles and Elliott wave to understand:
Nifty
daily chart:
The above chart shows two important time cycles as
per Hurst’s analysis – 54 days and 108 days cycle. The cycle reaches its
maximum downside acceleration at the zone of 75% completion. 108 days cycle is
now already at 73% completion so we are headed for the crash zone as per this
cycle. Another cycle of 54 days is now heading towards 50% which is the topping
area. So after next few days this cycle will also turn on downside. So as per
cycle theory there is still lot of room on downside and today’s sharp down leg
can just be its first leg of accelerated momentum.
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As
per Neo Wave – Advanced Elliott wave: we have completed a very important uptrend that started from the lows of
5118 in August 2013. This is for the first time that prices have also formed lower
highs and lower lows which is classical confirmation as per DOW Theory
as well. We will not be able to reveal
our downside targets from here as it is meant for paid subscribers but the hint
is we use Fibonacci levels from the truncated areas to get exact target zone!
It
is now always that the technical picture gets aligned all together very
accurately. Such
alignment happened weeks back and probably this is the time again where
everything is hinting towards the same thing – A
probable CRASH! However, do not get carried away and use prudent
stoploss levels in case market decides to play out otherwise. Our short term
research report along with long term monthly forecasts gives a complete view on
Indian equity markets and stocks with utmost objective techniques.
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