MACD (Moving Average Convergence
and Divergence) is a momentum indicator that can help either in trend following
or reversals as well. Just with the help of simple crossover technique you can
catch amazing reversals across asset classes.
Whenever MACD line crosses above
the signal line this indicates a bullish crossover, on the other hand when MACD
line crosses below the Signal line this indicates a bearish crossover. However,
one cannot rely only on MACD and price confirmation is also very important
along with Elliott wave pattern.
Below research shows that prices
have reversed from the channel resistance but we are yet to see break below the
important support level which is near 430 levels i.e. the Gap area.
MCX copper daily
chart:
Analysis:
Above is the daily chart of MCX
copper and we can see the overlapping move that has been witnessed since the
month of October. An amazing way of capturing reversal would have been
identifying the support or resistance zones and waiting for MACD confirmation
for going all in for the upcoming trend.
If we observe the MACD indicator,
the crossovers have been marked with circles and after the crossovers we can
see the distance increasing between both the MACD line and singal line,
confirming the emerging trend.
Also the recent price action is similar to what we observe in the past.
However, it is important to wait for prices to break below the support level
provided by the Gap area near 430. Move below this might result into a quick
move on downside which is also confirmed by indicator. On upside 460 is
important level to watch and break above the same would provide positive trade
setup.
In a nutshell, Copper is at
crucial juncture and break of either above 460 or below 430 will provide good
positional trade in that direction. This shows how to use indicator along with
price confirmation and not just rely on indicator crossover that majority of
the traders do resulting into losses.
You
can also read the earlier research on Silver that we were able to capture for
nearly 7.5% move. You can read it here.
You
can subscribe to the Intraday / Positional calls on commodity and get detailed
research along with it explaining the clear technical picture using Elliott
wave, indicators and much more. Getaccess here
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