Thursday, July 12, 2018

Nifty beyond 11000! What is next?

Nifty has managed to cross beyond psychological 11000 mark yet again! This has been exactly the way it was expected.
See yourself the below gist picked up from the monthly research report – “The Financial Waves Monthly update” published way back on 7th June 2018.
Neo wave pattern: If you look carefully Nifty has not done anything in 2018. The year started near 10550 levels and prices are still hovering near the trading zone of 10550 – 10800 levels. This shows there is an ongoing distribution for many months. Predicting the sideways pattern is most challenging as there are a few equally probable scenarios. Only when the pattern is near completion we get high conviction trade setup. It is therefore prudent to keep evaluating the ongoing pattern under formation. For now we are assuming Diametric pattern is continuing since there was expansion in earlier legs and contraction so far. Also wave f size has been similar to that of wave b shown in Figure 3. Ongoing wave g on upside can take prices towards 10900 levels. It will be a tough call to make whether new highs will be touched or not but we can expect more of a double top type of scenario where wave g will terminate near 11000 – 11100 zone ideally. We will keep a close watch on momentum as and when prices approach that range and mention it in our short term updates.
Nifty daily chart – (anticipated in monthly update on 7th June 2018)

Nifty daily chart – (Happened)

Nifty daily chart – Gann Projection levels (showed on 7th June 2018)

Anticipated – It will be a tough call to make whether new highs will be touched or not but we can expect more of a double top type of scenario where wave g will terminate near 11000 – 11100 zone ideally. We will keep a close watch on momentum as and when prices approach that range and mention it in our short term updates.

Happened: The above charts are self-explanatory that shows how markets have moved. We have been expecting such trend and anticipated it more than a month back. The only change is in momentum. The move on upside is euphoric maybe to suck in the maximum retail participants. I am not trying to catch a top unless the support levels are broken but this is the time to be alert again!
I turned bullish when majority were expecting break below 10500 levels again based on Time cycles and other Neo wave methods.
Gann projections – If you look at the 3rd chart carefully you can see the Gann projection given as 11078 and the high touched by Nifty is 11078.30 to be precise. So will this Gann projection work again?
So what is next from here? Is this up move going to continue towards life time highs or are we going to see the distribution again!
Imagine the power of trading if you know which tools to use and you can also time it well, For years I have worked on various patterns, methods and cycles and finally drilled down to these methods that has helped me to forecast the turns so accurately – Elliott – Neo wave, Hurst’s Time cycles and Gann projection levels! Learn these methods yourself in the upcoming two days training seminar on 21st and 22nd July in Mumbai, Hotel Radisson. Only a few seats left, ACT NOW – Know more
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